Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 13.149526 14.845128 16.798678 19.245517 22.271577 25.951589 30.863543
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 11.015089 13.044952 15.568763 19.023343 23.776868 30.337713 40.590044
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.787125 11.971154 14.833485 19.012308 25.254596 34.820459 52.069785
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.002365 11.297009 14.434971 19.270644 27.034805 40.154973 67.541150
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.162014 10.420696 13.600487 18.690355 27.304712 42.998143 80.010362
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.627590 9.901007 13.193044 18.665369 28.441569 47.751308 100.255444
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.026953 9.222894 12.463797 17.992969 28.255930 49.773074 115.306075
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.440294 8.515826 11.618549 17.006822 27.278416 49.756400 124.404258
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.971277 7.949859 10.943015 16.228224 26.562151 50.142039 135.741030
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.121516 8.325963 11.788258 18.238845 31.963448 68.248884 256.707506
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.027114 8.312413 11.991534 19.099917 35.155636 82.658927 428.398842
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.673162 7.862140 11.416782 18.373864 34.433100 84.026466 502.925874
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.421792 7.577846 11.132878 18.252939 35.350964 92.595724 760.470429
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.175696 7.286848 10.814070 18.022460 35.956144 100.725610 1197.228056
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.984381 7.072989 10.612899 18.009642 37.159257 112.796827 2399.696466
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.844222 6.934420 10.534138 18.247386 39.161566 131.404842 9035.838885
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.614729 6.631678 10.130215 17.712516 38.715649 136.444443 26828.465704
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.468016 6.461834 9.961135 17.689469 39.881599 153.340984 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.259430 6.175348 9.553298 17.068858 38.960578 155.324110 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.028953 5.842062 9.039623 16.156995 36.906741 147.462755 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.834272 5.564113 8.619249 15.435607 35.399052 143.123628 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.946959 5.825227 9.248903 17.295902 43.468243 237.935197 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.929834 5.855567 9.429601 18.090066 48.135122 329.706975 NaN